The 2024 FA Cup Final odds leave little to the imagination: Man City is a huge favorite against Man United in the derby of Manchester (that will take place in London). That’s hardly a surprise, given the gap between the sides this season.
And yet, this is only one game and it’s the FA Cup, so anything is possible, surely? Let’s dive into the latest Man City vs. Man Utd betting odds and analyze both sides before I share my FA Cup Final predictions and best bets.
2024 FA Cup Final Betting Odds: City Vs. United
- Man City to win; -305
- Man Utd to win; +700
- Draw; +440
- Man City to lift the trophy: -650
- Man Utd to lift the trophy; +450
- Over 3.25 goals; +100
- Under 3.25 goals; -120
Manchester City is the clear favorite in this clash. The oddsmakers at Bovada give Guardiola and his boys an implied probability of 86.67% to lift the trophy and just over 75% to get the job done in regular time!
It’s also interesting that the totals line for the FA Cup Final is set at 3.25 goals, so the bookies expect a lot of action here. United’s leaky defense might be the main reason, but I still feel that 3.25 is way too high for a match of this magnitude.
There are alternative totals lines and many other markets that I didn’t list here, so check out Bovada if you want more betting odds on the FA Cup Final.
Manchester City – Can They Be Stopped In This Final?
Manchester City were eliminated from the Champions League, but their grip on domestic trophies remains firm. Guardiola and his boys just beat Spurs to leap ahead of Arsenal in the EPL standings with just one game left.
Another victory against West Ham at home on Sunday would be enough for a record-breaking fourth consecutive EPL title, and the team can then focus on the FA Cup Final. I don’t expect issues in the league, so City should enter the last game of the season in a good mood.
Pep Guardiola can rely on most of his players, with only Ederson missing after taking a hit to the head against Spurs. Still, we saw how good his replacement Stefan Ortega is against Spurs, so that shouldn’t be a major issue.
City’s lineup and bench will be scary, and they’ve beaten United twice this season by a combined 6-1 score. You can add last year’s FA Cup Final victory over the Red Devils.
It’s really hard to find a weakness in this squad, so I expect to see a strong performance against Man United. The reigning FA Cup winners will control the tempo and suffocate the opposition.
However, I don’t expect City to be pushing recklessly because this is the only realistic way to lose that game. They will patiently keep the ball and look for mistakes from the opposition.
Manchester United – Last Chance To Salvage A Season From Hell
The Man United season has been so bad that even an FA Cup victory can’t make it successful, but it can definitely make it more bearable. The team has struggled with injuries, internal issues, and poor results all year long.
Ten Hag and his squad have broken multiple negative records this year in a historically bad performance. This could cost the Dutchman’s job, but an unlikely victory in the FA Cup could save him.
The injuries have been a problem this year, and it won’t be different in the upcoming Wembley clash. Harry Maguire and Luke Shaw are almost certainly out of this game, while the likes of Raphael Varane, Victor Lindelof, and Mason Mount are doubtful.
The Red Devils will have to again rely on a makeshift defense, but they should have enough players to move Casemiro back to midfield.
This could help, but only if Ten Hag is pragmatic in his approach. His best results against top teams since he took the job have come after strong counter-attacking displays.
I expect Man Utd to park the bus and try to catch City on the counter. That’s easier said than done, of course, but it’s the only plausible path to victory in this FA Cup Final.
2024 FA Cup Final Predictions And Betting Pick
It’s really hard to justify a prediction against Manchester City, given the current state of both sides. Guardiola and his boys should win this game, but the FA Cup Final odds for them are too short for my taste.
Instead, I prefer to turn my attention to the goals market. Man City should patiently control the game and look for openings, while United will defend deep and hope for the best.
The 3.25 totals line is on the high end, so I’m more than happy to take the -120 offered for the under. It’s the best FA Cup betting pick available!
