The UEFA EURO 2024 winner odds have moved after the Last 16, but the top soccer betting sites still favor England and France. Spain and Germany are the other two favorites, while everyone else left standing is considered an underdog.
I don’t really agree with some of the prices, but more about that later. Let’s explore the EURO 2024 champion odds before the quarterfinals and dissect the remaining teams.
UEFA EURO 2024 Champion Betting Odds
The following odds for the European Soccer Championship 2024 winner are courtesy of BetUS:
TEAM | ODDS |
---|---|
England | +350 |
Spain | +400 |
Germany | +450 |
France | +450 |
Netherlands | +700 |
Portugal | +900 |
Switzerland | +1400 |
Turkey | +3300 |
England (+350) is still leading the way, followed by Spain, Germany, and France. The EURO 2024 Championship favor strongly this Big Four, with everyone else firmly behind.
Turkey is the least likely champion, according to the prices, but that’s hardly a surprise to anyone. Let’s explore the main favorites next.
European Soccer Championship 2024 Top Favorites
England, Spain, Germany, and France are the favorites to win EURO 2024. The home nation is looking for a positive turnaround after a disappointing showing in the 2022 World Cup, and they’ve done well so far.
Let’s dive straight into my evaluation of the teams at the top European Championship 2024 odds:
England (+350)
- Last 8 opponent: Switzerland
I was against backing England early on because of their poor manager, and nothing has changed. The sports betting sites still have the Three Lions as favorites because of the talent at Southgate’s disposal, but the performances so far have been nothing short of abysmal.
England were on the brink of elimination against Slovakia in the Last 16 before a 95th-minute bicycle kick from Bellingham (their first shot on target, mind you) saved the day.
This match was the perfect summary for the team in the EUROs: world-class players that can decide any game, but also clueless tactics from the manager. You can expect to power your way through individual talent alone, so there’s zero value in the odds for England.
This team is not prepared to win the EUROs, even if their potential path to the final is easy compared to the other side of the bracket. In fact, I won’t be surprised if Switzerland send the major favorite home.
Anything is possible, but the odds for England are abysmal and I don’t recommend backing them.
Spain (+500)
- Last 8 opponent: Germany
I’ve been very impressed with Spain so far, as they marched to the Last 8 without any resistance. The team won all four games so far, allowing only one goal in the process.
Rodri has been fantastic in the middle of the pitch, while young guns like Nico Williams and Lamine Yamal provide purpose and penetration up front. The team is flying, but there are serious question marks about the competition faced so far.
Italy is a team in transition, Croatia is way too old, and Georgia doesn’t have enough quality to trouble any of the favorites. Spain’s true tests lie ahead. The team will face Germany next and then France/Portugal in the last 4.
If you plan on backing Spain to win the title, you should bet on them to progress in the next three games. The cumulative odds will most certainly be higher than the +400 available right now, so don’t bet on Spain to win outright.
Germany (+450)
- Last 8 opponent: Spain
EURO 2024 has been fantastic for Germany so far. They started with a 5-1 victory over Scotland, won the group, and then beat Denmark by 2-0 in the Last 16. Everything’s great, on paper, and the nation believes.
However, a few shaky moments suggest Germany might be weaker than it appears. For a start, the team struggled against Switzerland, arguably the strongest opponents so far. The hosts had to rely on a late equalizer and looked harmless for most of the game.
Then against Denmark, Germany were lucky to stay on level when VAR overturned a goal and then received a penalty a minute later. Both decisions were marginally correct, but mostly because of luck.
Germany can be wasteful in front of goal, so going behind against a top opponent could be an issue. I have some concerns about the clash against Spain, even if Jens Lehmann believes the Spaniards are too young.
The odds for Germany are not high enough, so I wouldn’t back them to win EURO 2024.
France (+450)
- Last 8 opponent: Portugal
France might be the hardest team to evaluate left. The nation’s defense is the best in the tournament, which is enough for them to be among the favorites. At the same time, France has been very wasteful in the EUROs so far.
They miss too many chances, which could be a problem in the upcoming games. The big question is why a team with so many quality forwards struggles to find the net. Where are their problems coming from?
I don’t have a simple answer, but it might have to do with Mbappe’s injury. Their main man up front broke his nose in the opening game and even feared a return could be impossible. The shock from that injury disrupted France’s rhythm, but their defense was able to cover.
If the team finds another gear offensively, it will be the strongest side in EURO 2024. That’s why I like France the most of all favorites.
The Rest of the Bunch
The EURO 2024 winner odds suggest that one of the four big favorites should end up with the title, and I almost agree. Portugal are in the tougher part of the bracket and suffer from Roberto Martinez’s decision to play Ronaldo all the time. Even if they beat France, winning two more games against top-tier opponents will be very tough.
It’s also unrealistic to expect Turkey to go all the way, even if they play with fantastic energy and support from the crowd. The team lacks the quality to win the tournament. The same can be said about the Netherlands, who have been too inconsistent.
This leaves us with my dark horse for the tournament – Switzerland. The cohesion in this team is on another level, they have multiple top players, and they have all the confidence in the world.
If the Swiss win against England, as I predict in my Last 8 best bets, the road to the final will be open. This team is very good, so getting +1400 is fantastic value,
EURO 2024 Champion Predictions and Best Bets
I picked France before the tournament and I’m ready to double down on my initial prediction. This team’s defense is sublime, so it’s about finding the scoring touch on the other end. That’s easier said than done, but the ability is there when you have players like Mbappe, Dembele, Griezmann, and the rest.
The other good bet at this point is Switzerland. Based on performance so far, the Swiss are the best team in their side of the bracket. They can definitely beat England, so the odds of +1400 are too high to ignore.
Where to Bet on the EUROs?
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