2024 PGA Championship Sleepers: Matsuyama’s Odds Show Value

Hideki Matsuyama (+4000)

Hideki Matsuyama was one of the most consistent players on the PGA Tour before finishing T38 in the Mastersl.

Matsuyama has five top-15 performances this year, including a winning effort at the Genesis Open in February. The 32-year-old native of Ehime, Japan, beat Will Zalatoris by three strokes to finish 17-under par!

GOLF SHOT.@HidekiOfficial_ almost holes it from the water 😳 pic.twitter.com/w9YoMv34iC

— PGA TOUR (@PGATOUR) March 8, 2024

It was a valiant performance from Matsuyama, who followed up with strong performances over the next three weeks. He finished T12, T6, and T7 heading into the Masters.

Although he wasn’t in top form at the Augusta National, Matsuyama held up well for T6 against a tough field at The Players Championship. Additionally, he is only three years removed from winning the Masters in 2021. Matsuyama has proven that he can perform under pressure and win majors.

Overall, Matsuyama ranks in the top 10 in Strokes Gained: Total to put him well ahead of the field¹. With generous odds to win at +4000, Matsuyama is a top sleeper pick to take the PGA Championship.

Matt Fitzpatrick (+4000)

Matt Fitzpatrick is another +4000 bet, presenting significant betting value for the PGA Championship. The 2022 U.S. Open winner hasn’t been able to duplicate those results in a major tournament since the biggest triumph of his career, but he is worth considering at this price.

Fitzpatrick is coming off some promising results this season. He hasn’t missed a cut in four straight events, including a top-5 performance at the Players Championship!

Following solid work in the “fifth” major, Fitzpatrick responded with a top-10 showing at the Texas Open. The 14th-ranked player in the world is one of the best players on the PGA Tour at finding birdies on the golf course.

In 2023, Fitzpatrick won the RBC Heritage and had three top-10 performances to close out the year. In the FedEx Cup Playoffs, Fitzpatrick finished T2 in the BMW Championship and T9 in the TOUR Championship.

What. A. Shot. 👏@MattFitz94 nearly holes it for the win on the third playoff hole. pic.twitter.com/hIhOz9owmX

— PGA TOUR (@PGATOUR) April 16, 2023

Also, Fitzpatrick opened this season with a strong T4 performance in the Hero World Challenge in early December.

The Englishman is 15th in birdie average per tournament. Ranked 11th in total driving, the golfer typically starts off well from the tee². At +4000, Fitzpatrick is one to consider for your PGA Championship 2024 longshots.

Tyrrell Hatton (+5000)

According to Bovada, Tyrrell Hatton has an implied probability of just 2% of winning the PGA Championship. However, his recent effort at the Masters suggests he will be in contention at Valhalla Golf Club.

The 32-year-old veteran has been in good shape in three PGA Tour events this season. Hatton finished T14 at The Sentry, T13 at the Sony Open, and most recently delivered a T9 performance at the Masters.

Given Hatton’s recent form, he has a better chance to win the PGA Championship than the odds indicate. What’s more, Hatton has had some notable performances on his resume over the last year.

In 2023, Hatton finished 2nd at The Players Championship and had several other top-5 finishes. He went T3 at the Canadian Open, T5 at the AT&T Byron Classic, T3 at the Wells Fargo Championship, and 2nd at the Arnold Palmer Invitational.

As one of the best players on the green, Reed’s putter should come in handy. Currently, he is third in LIV Golf with 1.54 putts per hole this season³.

SLAM DUNK EAGLE 🦅 @TyrrellHatton#LIVGolf @LegionXIIIgc pic.twitter.com/lW86ahfAbY

— LIV Golf (@livgolf_league) May 5, 2024

The current LIV golfer is fifth on the PGA Tour with 16 consecutive cuts made⁴! He has a consistent hand and is constantly in the hunt in the final round. For a +5000 longshot, that’s about all you can ask for at the PGA Championship!

Corey Conners (+8000)

Canadian Corey Conners has had opportunities to win some signature tournaments. He’s been close in the past but has come short of finishing the job. Last year, Conners won the second PGA Tour event of his career with a victory at the 2023 Valero Texas Open.

Late in the 2023 season, he had a few notable performances. The Canadian finished T9 at the Travelers Championship and then finished the year strong in the FedEx Cup Playoffs.

Conners was on track, with a T6 showing in the St. Jude Championship and then T10 in the BMW Championship. If he’s in similar form in the PGA Championship, expect to see Conners in the mix on Saturday and Sunday.

Corey Conners navigates No. 6 masterfully to return to even par. #themasters pic.twitter.com/mdxelbQGkj

— The Masters (@TheMasters) April 11, 2024

Conners knows how to find the green without many complications, which is critically important for success at Valhalla Golf Club. He is third in the PGA Tour with 72.09% greens reached in regulation. Additionally, Conners is fourth in SG: Approach to Green⁵.

Consider him for your sleepers for the 2024 PGA Championship because the +8000 odds offer great value.

Patrick Reed (+8000)

Sports betting sites do not hold Patrick Reed in high regard to win the 2024 PGA Championship. Along with Conners, he only has a 1.2% chance of winning the second championship major of his career.

However, Reed has positive momentum entering the PGA Championship. The 33-year-old Texas native had a quality showing at the Masters. Furthermore, the LIV golfer and 2018 Masters winner made the cut in all four majors last year.

In a growing LIV field, Reed finished T9, T22, and T14 over his previous three starts. With a 66 in Round 3 at LIV Golf Singapore, he is coming off one of his best rounds this year⁶.

That eagle putt by Patrick Reed 👀 pic.twitter.com/cZZjZklLfH

— LIV'r & Onions! (@LIVRandONIONS) May 5, 2024

Conners and Reed are the best PGA Championship 2024 longshots in the +8000 to +10000 range. With that in mind, consider adding Reed to your PGA Championship betting card for the second major tournament of the year.