Best College Football Props Today: Expert NCAAF Predictions

Georgia QB Carson Beck needs to find some consistency for the Bulldogs to be the clear favorite to win the College Football Playoff. Beck has been plagued by a Jekyll and Hyde effort this season. When he’s on, Beck is one of the better quarterbacks in the nation.

The first-year starter has passed for 2,302 yards, 17 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions on 65.5% completions. Beck was all out of sorts in the first half against Florida last week. He passed for 309 yards and two touchdowns, but threw three first-half interceptions to keep the Gators in the game.

That’s the problem with Beck, who goes through these stretches where he isn’t seeing the field well. That said, he is still passing for big yardage through the air. Beck has tossed 943 yards over the last three weeks.

WHAT A DOT BY CARSON BECK 😳 🎯 @GeorgiaFootball pic.twitter.com/CX6gFKl8XM

— SEC Network (@SECNetwork) October 12, 2024

He’s eclipsed 400 yards twice this season against Alabama and Mississippi State. Do I see the same scenario against Ole Miss? The Rebels are allowing 245.1 yards per game for 91st in the FBS. They don’t have a secondary that is strong enough to frustrate Beck on Saturday.

Beck shook off the bad start last week and heated up in the second half. Expect him to get going right from the opening kickoff against Ole Miss this week. I have Beck passing for roughly 300 yards, so consider him for your NCAA football props today!

Another quarterback worth considering for your college football props has to be LSU’s QB Garrett Nussmeier. After taking over for Jayden Daniels, Nussmeier has taken the reins of the offense and put the team into a position to win games.

The QB has passed for 2,627 yards, 20 touchdowns, and nine interceptions. He is a step down from Daniels, no doubt, but Nussmeier is one of the best options in the SEC this year. Like Beck, more consistency would be appreciated, but Nussmeier is throwing for yardage.

The junior quarterback has thrown for more than 300 yards in four of five games heading into Saturday’s festivities. He shouldn’t have issues in a game that is likely to produce big offensive numbers against the Crimson Tide.

Garrett Nussmeier in a 2 minute drive before the half against Ole Miss.

Can really see his aggressiveness, ball placement, feel for pressure in the pocket, and how he tries to throw teammates open. pic.twitter.com/LAhKW8266P

— Nate Tice (@Nate_Tice) October 30, 2024

I expect the Tigers to keep the ball in the air because Alabama is going to keep coming at LSU’s defense. The Tigers need a big effort from Nussmeier for the win, so I expect the ball to stay in his hands. Alabama has a solid defense, but it isn’t the same iron curtain secondary of old.

Nussmeier should get over 300 yards, so his passing prop is a great option at 286.5 yards against the Crimson Tide!

Tennessee’s lead RB Dylan Sampson is running with a purpose for the Volunteers this season. The star running back has gained 980 yards and 19 touchdowns on 5.7 yards per carry! He’s one of the best on the ground in college football and has the numbers to back it up.

Rushing into the record books.

No player in Tennessee Football history has rushed for more touchdowns in a single season than Dylan Sampson! pic.twitter.com/7BWE4mNM85

— Tennessee Football (@Vol_Football) November 3, 2024

Sampson has notched over 100 rushing yards in seven of games this season. He rushed for a minimum of 138 yards in three of his previous four outings. As well as Sampson running in great form, he has a paper-thin Mississippi State defense to roll on.

The Bulldogs are 127th against the run in the FBS with 222.4 yards against per game. Sampson should have a field day against Mississippi State’s soft defense, so the total looks off in this spot. In one of the best college football props this week, Sampson over 127.5 rushing yards is a strong option!

1. Evaluate Roster Turnover and Returning/Departing Players

While this is a must for placing your college football picks on traditional markets like the point spread, it’s also important to examine roster turnover for prop betting.

Let’s assume an experienced defense from the 2023-24 season has several new faces in the secondary for this year. Especially through the first month, we can assume that there will be an adjustment period for the defense.

As a result, quarterbacks and wide receivers typically have a high likelihood of feasting on these units. Of course, this can be applied to a variety of situations and examples.

For instance, if you are considering backing a running back’s rushing prop bet, I would advise investigating the experience on the offensive line before betting. Additionally, the defensive line and linebackers of the opposing defense are worth your time.

Teams can look much different than the previous season in college football because of graduations and the transfer portal, so it’s invaluable information to have for your NCAA football player props today!

2. Know the Team’s Offensive Philosophy and System

College football is unique due to the variety of different offensive systems that teams utilize. From conference to conference and team to team, coaches have implemented their system to best suit their personnel.

Some of these offensive strategies include the pro-style offense, pistol offense, air-raid offense, run-and-shoot offense, spread offense, option offense, and more.

The system will have a direct correlation to offensive output. An air-raid offense is going to put up far more yardage through the air than a pro-style system, for instance.

Understanding the offensive objective of the players you are backing for your NCAA football player props is vital for being profitable.

3. Analyze Each Individual Matchup for Strengths and Weaknesses

You can’t make your best college football prop bets without breaking down each individual matchup! It would be a losing proposition to not take into consideration the strengths and weaknesses of each squad.

This also ties into analyzing team and NCAA statistics to help you ascertain which teams are excelling and struggling in certain areas. I have come to discover that teams rarely fix trouble spots with their roster in the same season.

When a team is bad against the run, pass, and so on, it typically takes an offseason or two to address these needs. Things that are working and failing tend to continue through the season.

In short, I recommend identifying early trends and noting them for your wagers in the future.

Carson Beck Passing Yards Prop:

• BetUS: Over 280.5 (-120), Under 280.5 (-110)
• Bovada: Over 278.5 (-115), Under 278.5 (-115)

• Bovada
• Betwhale
• BetUS
• BetOnline