Jake Paul vs. Mike Perry Odds: Will the Problem Child Dominate?

• Jake Paul (-220)
• Mike Perry (+165)

• March 2, 2023 – WIN Ryan Bourland (TKO)
• December 15, 2023 – WIN vs. Andre August (KO)
• August 5, 2023 – WIN vs. Nate Diaz (UD)
• February 26, 2023 – LOSS vs. Tommy Fury (SD)
• October 29, 2022 – WIN vs. Anderson Silva (UD)

Paul is on a three-fight win streak, with back-to-back victories over actual boxers. Ryan Bourland and Andre August are lower-tier pros, and Paul made easy work of both fighters.

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Jake Paul kept his promise to the fans and got the first round knockout. Waving goodnight to the dazed Andre August#PaulAugust pic.twitter.com/ivW4dZUrWz

— DAZN Boxing (@DAZNBoxing) December 16, 2023

The 27-year-old social media star KO’d August with one punch in Round 1 this past December. His opponent is a lesser-known boxer who has primarily fought in regional promotions. The same applies to Bourland, with Paul ending the bout in the opening round!

After losing a close fight to Tommy Fury — the most accomplished boxer he’s fought thus far — Paul had mop-up duty against an out-of-shape Nate Diaz. It was an easy unanimous decision win for Paul against the ex-MMA star.

In 2022, Paul outlasted a gassed Anderson Silva to secure another unanimous decision win. The YouTuber’s opponent selection has been just about near-perfect, including the fight versus Tyson. Overall, he owns a 9-1-0 (6 KOs) since his first sanctioned fight in 2020.

The 6-foot-1 Paul doesn’t utilize the most unique boxing style. He’s an aggressive fighter who goes to the jab to open up a hook and cross. While Paul doesn’t have substantial power compared to top fighters, it’s enough for him to KO fighters in his own class.

Paul’s power is sufficient to hurt opponents who don’t have solid defense and gas tank. He’s also typically bigger, which should come into play against Perry.

In several of his fights, Paul played the long game and waited for them to run out of gas. For example, Diaz and Silva had nothing left to give by the end of the fight. Paul can’t play this strategy against Perry here, though.

There aren’t any concerns about Paul’s physical condition. He had been prepping for the Tyson fight, so expect him to come into the fight well-conditioned.

He weighed 199.8 pounds at the weigh-in to fight Bourland. Paul was preparing to fight Tyson as a heavyweight, so he should have good size for this match. The size and reach advantage will lean in favor of Paul.

Paul’s 76” reach provides a five-inch upper hand to the native of Cleveland, OH. The Paul vs. Perry betting odds suggest that he has a better chance of winning partially due to the “Problem Child” having the physical advantage in a boxing ring!

• March 28, 2015 – LOSS Kenneth McNeil (KO)

According to BoxRec, Perry has made one official appearance in a boxing match. In 2015, he was KO’d by Kenneth McNeil, a fighter who didn’t turn that win into much. After dabbling in boxing and struggling to find success, Perry moved on to MMA.

With a record of 14-8-0 in the UFC, it was smart for Perry to give up on boxing to focus on an MMA career. However, he needed a change when it was evident he couldn’t keep up in the UFC. Perry’s defense was brought into question, as he was getting banged around pretty good!

Mike Perry stops Thiago Alves in Round 1 at KnuckleMania IV ! 🔥 pic.twitter.com/vOZffwzw8x

— MMA Fighting (@MMAFighting) April 28, 2024

The 32-year-old made another smart career change, as Perry has looked at home in the Bare Knuckle Fighting Championship. He is 5-0-0 with wins over some familiar names, including Eddie Alvarez, Luke Rockhold, and Thiago Alves most recently in April.

All three are former MMA fighters who went to BKFC after failing to keep their jobs in the UFC. Perry hasn’t been tested by a competent boxer in his career yet. He’s shown success in bare-knuckle fighting, but boxing is a different sport altogether.

Perry is a pure brawler who likes to go in and take swings at his opponent. That doesn’t necessarily translate to being a good boxer. He’s a tough, gritty competitor, but will need more to beat Paul.

He’s perfect for bare-knuckle fighting with no fear in the ring. However, fighting with gloves on requires a different skill set!

Defense is an afterthought for Perry, but he’ll need it against Paul. Knocking out him in the early rounds should be difficult, so Perry must assemble some type of defensive strategy.

In his current form, Perry takes too many shots to get out of this fight without Paul inflicting any damage.

Perry is in fine shape preparing for this fight, but there is one area of concern for him heading into the Paul bout. Despite beating Alves in April, the California State Athletic Commission suspended Perry from fighting until June 24.

He was added to the suspended list on medical grounds. It took him just 60 seconds to win the fight, but he was roughed up enough to warrant a two-month break from fighting. He had lacerated his left cheek prompting the California State Athletic Commission to issue the suspension.

In any event, Perry’s cardio and fitness levels will be amongst the best that Paul has seen in his career. Perry doesn’t have top-rated cardio, but certainly better than most fighters that the social media star has fought in the past!

I don’t suspect Paul can simply wait for Perry to gas out like Silva and Diaz. If he was preparing to do the same against Tyson, this could lead to complications in the upcoming Perry fight.