2024 MLB Over/Under Wins Betting Odds and Predictions

The Rangers have an excellent problem to have going into this season. There are only so many spots in the lineup, and the squad features a plethora of young studs who are looking for a spot on the Opening Day roster.

The Rangers have not one but two top contenders to win the AL Rookie of the Year award. While Evan Carter is among our MLB Rookie of the Year predictions, teammate Wyatt Langford is also a leading candidate to impress the voters.

Evan Carter leadoff bomb. 💪🤠

(via @Rangers) pic.twitter.com/WWL0pCILQg

— FOX Sports: MLB (@MLBONFOX) March 5, 2024

This is on a team that already had no issues finding offense up and down the lineup. In 2023, the Rangers scored 5.46 runs per game for third in MLB. With 5.85 runs per game at Globe Life Field, they were the highest-scoring home team in baseball¹.

Corey Seager, who is among the favorites to win AL MVP, returns with potent hitters Marcus Semien, Josh Jung, and Adolis Garcia. The offense will do its job in contributing to the Rangers’ 2024 MLB win totals, cruising past 90 wins.

The chief concern for the Rangers’ 2023 postseason bid was that they didn’t have enough pitching.

However, that did not prevent the Rangers from catching fire at the right time. In the absence of a Cy Young contender, the Rangers will face similar criticism in 2024.

Rangers’ Starting Rotation:

1. Nathan Eovaldi
2. Jon Gray
3. Andrew Heaney
4. Dane Dunning
5. Cody Bradford

The Rangers may not have a true ace in their rotation, but they have consistency. From Nathan Eovaldi to Dane Dunning, there shouldn’t be many surprises. They’ll give the Rangers an ERA between 3.50 to 4.20.

The Yankees are a juggernaut at the top of the lineup. After DJ LeMahieu leads off, the team turns to Soto and Judge. That is a tough spot to get through for pitchers.

The key for the Yankees could be how Giancarlo Stanton responds after a terrible season. In 2023, he had by far the worst season of his career. His .191 batting average, .275 OBP, and .420 SLG are all career lows².

If Stanton can turn things around even moderately, the Yankees’ offense will be in tremendous shape after disappointing last season with just 4.15 runs per game. It was a letdown, but I have confidence they’ll bounce back resoundingly this season.

With Judge and Soto leading in the MLB MVP betting odds markets, the Yankees could conceivably have the first and second vote-getters.

The Yankees are banking on another star player bouncing back in 2023. This one’s in the starting rotation, as they need Carlos Rodon to snap back to top form.

In the offseason, the franchise bolstered the starting rotation with the addition of veteran Marcus Stroman. If Rodon, Stroman, and the defending AL Cy Young winner are all at their best, this will be a difficult pitching staff to neutralize.

Yankees’ Starting Rotation:

1. Gerrit Cole
2. Carlos Rodon
3. Marcus Stroman
4. Nestor Cortes
5. Clarke Schmidt

The top four in the rotation have all shown in the past that they can be elite. Even down to Nestor Cortes, who also had a down season in 2023.

After posting an ERA of 2.90 in 2021 and a 2.44 ERA the following year, Cortes fell off with an ERA of 4.97 in 2023³. The Yankees have the makings of the best rotation in baseball, but it will all have to come together at the same time.

Carroll is looking to build on a ROY campaign and turn it into an MVP trophy. Most MLB betting sites list Carroll at roughly +2000 odds to win MVP. It’s a longshot, but if Carroll shows signs of improvement, he could be in the discussion.

Only one player in MLB history has had 50+ steals, 25+ homers, and 10+ triples in one MLB season and it was rookie Corbin Carroll. 😮pic.twitter.com/TV2ulw8zoD

— Codify (@CodifyBaseball) March 2, 2024

The Diamondbacks also signed former Dodger Joc Pederson to a one-year, $12.5 million deal. He is a 31-year-old veteran with a bit of pop left in his bat. After playing in the pitcher-friendly Oracle Park in San Francisco, Pederson’s numbers dipped in 2023.

He should be back in solid form with his new team in the NL West. Pederson and Christian Walker will be valuable assets batting behind Carroll in the lineup.

The Diamondbacks’ pitching staff is led by NL CY Young hopeful Zac Gallen. In six seasons, Gallen has posted an ERA of 3.21 with a 1.12 WHIP across 115 games.

Following Gallen, Merrill Kelly, and the newly acquired Eduardo Rodriguez should offer the Diamondbacks a capable 1-2-3 punch.

Diamondbacks’ Starting Rotation:

1. Zac Gallen
2. Merrill Kelly
3. Eduardo Rodriguez
4. Brandon Pfaadt
5. Ryne Nelson

If Brandon Pfaadt is ready for MLB, the Diamondbacks’ pitching could be a weapon. He is the top pitching prospect in their farm system and received rave reviews throughout Spring Training.

After a season with 4.07 runs per game, the Marlins are not expected to see much improvement offensively. They finished 28th offensively, and that is likely where you will be able to find them this season, too.

"Ellos mienten, yo soy un 100" 😂#MLBTheShow pic.twitter.com/YdxXoUy7IN

— Miami Marlins (@Marlins) March 7, 2024

It isn’t all bad, however. Luis Arraez is a talented infielder and one of the better leadoff men in the Major Leagues. The 26-year-old will be paired with Tim Anderson at the top of the order to give the Marlins a threat.

However, the lack of depth at the bottom of the order should cause issues for the Marlins frequently. Josh Bell and Jake Burger follow Arraez and Anderson in the lineup with decent power, but there may not be a 35-home run hitter for the organization in 2024.

Alcántara will be absent from a rotation that likely would have been a fairly stout unit. The pitching staff is solid without Alcántara, but it’s not elite without the star.

Marlins’ Starting Rotation:

1. Jesus Luzardo
2. Eury Perez
3. Braxton Garrett
4. J. Puk
5. Edward Cabrera

The onus will fall on the pitchers to find wins for the Marlins this season. I expect plenty of more one and two-run losses in 2024. There is reason to feel optimistic about this rotation, but they won’t get much run support regardless.